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Writer's pictureSusan Harris

Future Trends in Carbon Credit Markets: A Market in Transition

In recent years, the use of carbon credits has gained significant traction in the global marketplace. These credits serve as a vital component in the fight against climate change, offering companies the opportunity to offset their carbon footprint and showcase their commitment to sustainability. As we look towards the future, it is imperative to examine the emerging trends in the carbon credit market, which play a crucial role in shaping a greener and more sustainable world.


The Growing Demand for Carbon Credits


One of the prominent trends in the carbon credit market is the increasing demand from businesses aiming to meet Government emission reduction requirements and enhance their green credentials. As awareness of environmental issues continues to rise and green regulations tighten, companies are under mounting pressure to demonstrate their commitment to sustainability. By investing in carbon credits, organisations not only offset their own emissions but also contribute to environmentally friendly projects worldwide. This growing demand for carbon credits signifies a paradigm shift towards prioritising sustainability in corporate agendas.


Recent science-based exposures of large numbers of fake voluntary credits in the Voluntary Carbon Market 1.0 (over 80% are fake!) has led to the development of the Voluntary Carbon Market 2.0 for High Integrity Credits. GreenXperts Limited is involved in supplying the VCM 2.0 with high integrity Voluntary Vintage Carbon Credits (VVCC®) from old forest and Voluntary Restorative Carbon Credits (VRCC™) from new and restored forest. Demand is very high, with GreenXperts welcoming approaches from forest owners who wish to participate in this global market.


Fairhill Forest Voluntary Carbon credits
Fairhill Forest VVCC® Westland New Zealand

Technological Innovations Driving Market Growth


Technological advancements are playing a pivotal role in shaping the future of the carbon credit market. Technology innovations are revolutionising the way carbon credits are traded and verified. Live tracking ensures transparency and traceability in carbon transactions, offering increased security and efficiency. Artificial intelligence and machine learning are being used with in-built audit protocols and bench-marking to accurately measure and monitor carbon emissions, enabling companies to make informed decisions regarding their environmental impact. These technological innovations are driving market growth and fostering a more sustainable approach to carbon offsetting. GreenXperts' AI-assisted carbon assay method (AICAM™) is technology that vastly speeds up the scope and scale of carbon credit yield counts for VVCC® and VRCC™ forests. The automation of this task frees up hours of skilled scientist's time, making high integrity voluntary carbon credit production faster and cheaper, processing even very large forests in a shorter time frame.


Leveraging Carbon Credits for Energy Transition


The utilisation of carbon credits as a tool for achieving tangible energy transition is a notable trend in the market. Companies are increasingly focusing on investing in projects that not only reduce carbon emissions but also benefit local communities and ecosystems with co-benefits.



United Nations Sustainable Development Goals - Co-Benefits


From renewable energy initiatives to reforestation projects, carbon credits are being leveraged to drive positive change on a global scale. This trend underscores the transformative power of carbon credits in addressing climate change challenges while promoting social and environmental sustainability. Affordable and practical technology to achieve a full and rapid transition away from fossil-fuel based energy sources is not yet available at global scale, so carbon credits are an essential economic tool to fill the gap and drive innovation towards clean energy as society proceeds towards the global net zero emissions by 2050 target.


Regulatory Landscape Influencing Market Dynamics


The regulatory environment plays a significant role in shaping the dynamics of the carbon credit market. Governments worldwide are implementing policies and regulations to incentivise companies to reduce their carbon footprint and embrace sustainable practices. These regulatory frameworks create a conducive atmosphere for the growth of the carbon credit market, encouraging greater participation from businesses across diverse sectors. By aligning with regulatory requirements, companies can not only comply with environmental standards but also gain a competitive edge in an increasingly eco-conscious market. Companies and industries that do not respond quickly to consumer demand for low emission products and services will be beaten to the market by better-positioned 21st Century aware competitors. They may languish in the bottom of the market until they make the changes needed to satisfy changing consumer and regulatory demands. They may even be locked out of certain markets or suffer carbon tariffs or carbon taxes on their high emission products. The EU has recently introduced its Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) which places a carbon charge on imports. While CBAM in the EU only applies to a limited number of high intensity emissions products at present, it is a bellwether of things to come. The USA is also considering a similar mechanism. This is just one reason why national emissions trading schemes like the New Zealand Emissions Trading Scheme (NZETS) need to have policy settings that will protect New Zealand producers from carbon charges and facilitate exports into eco-conscious high value markets.


EU CBAM
EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism

Embracing Net Zero as a Business Imperative


Net Zero by 2050 is emerging as a business imperative for organisations seeking to position themselves as leaders in sustainability. Achieving net zero involves balancing carbon emissions with carbon removal or offsetting through initiatives such as investing in renewable energy projects or sustainable forestry. By embracing net zero, companies not only contribute to global efforts to combat climate change but also enhance their reputation and appeal to eco-conscious consumers. This trend towards net zero underscores the importance of integrating sustainability into business strategies to secure a resilient and environmentally responsible future. Consumer surveys are starting to consistently show the influence of Millennial and Generation Z purchasing decisions on markets. In eco-conscious high value markets such as the EU, USA, and increasingly Asia, companies that offer genuinely green products and services are achieving a competitive advantage over those that don't. A recent supermarket survey in the USA noted an overall 1.7% increase in sales for 'green' products, which is a major increase in this tight margin market, McKinsey and NielsenIQ (February 2023).


Millennials and Generation Z
Millennials and Generation Z

Conclusion


In conclusion, the future trends in the carbon credit market are geared towards fostering a more sustainable and environmentally conscious economy. The growth in demand for carbon credits, coupled with technological innovations and a focus on achieving less environmental impact, signifies a transformative shift towards greener business practices. By leveraging carbon credits, companies can not only offset their carbon footprint but also drive positive change on a global scale. As the regulatory landscape evolves and net zero becomes a strategic priority, businesses must embrace sustainability as a core tenet of their operations. The major shifts happening now with the abandonment of the flawed VCM 1.0 and adoption of the high integrity VCM 2.0, CBAM mechanisms being introduced, and the influence of economically-powerful Millennials and Generation Z are clear indications that society is demanding that change be real. The future of the carbon credit market thus holds promise for a more sustainable future, where businesses play a genuine and pivotal role in combating climate change and promoting environmental stewardship.


The shrewd use of carbon credits to power energy transition and the development of low emission products and services will keep external carbon costs down, drive sustainable sales, and help society progress towards a more sustainable tomorrow and a cooler planet!


SEO Keywords: Carbon Credits, Sustainability, green, green credentials, climate change

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